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Market News: The Director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down on January 20th.The European Central Bank predicts that inflation will decline in 2025, and the European Central Bank currently predicts that inflation will cool down slightly faster than predicted in September. The bank's latest forecast shows that the average inflation rate in 2024 and 2025 is 2.4% and 2.1% respectively, while the previous forecast is 2.5% and 2.2% respectively. After cutting interest rates by 25 basis points, the European Central Bank said in a statement: "The anti-inflation process is on the right track." The bank said: "Domestic inflation has declined slightly, but it is still at a high level, mainly because wages and prices in some industries are still adapting to the past inflation surge, but there is a great delay." The European Central Bank maintains its inflation forecast of 1.9% in 2026, and predicts that the average inflation rate in 2027 will be 2.1%.Jili Liaoyuan reported a suspected gas explosion in a residential area: 13 people were hospitalized, including 2 seriously injured. Liaoyuan City Emergency Management Bureau reported that at 18: 17 pm on December 12, the municipal fire rescue detachment received an alarm, and a suspected gas explosion occurred in a residential area in Liaoyuan City. At present, the open flame has been extinguished, and 13 people were hospitalized, including 2 seriously injured. The cause of the accident is under investigation.

European Central Bank President Lagarde: The European Central Bank did not discuss neutral interest rates this week. Many things will become clear in the next few months, not in the next few weeks.Australia plans to force technology giants to pay for news content. The Australian government announced a new tax plan on the 12th, which will force technology giants to pay for news content to Australian media companies, otherwise they will face the risk of being charged higher taxes. According to the Australian government's plan, all digital platforms with an annual income of more than A $250 million (about US$ 160 million) in Australia must reach a commercial agreement with Australian media organizations on the use of news content, otherwise they will face the risk of being charged higher taxes. (Xinhua News Agency)European Central Bank President Lagarde: Regardless of the market pricing of interest rate hikes, European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the European Central Bank will adjust its policies according to the data and will decide the policies of each meeting one by one. The neutral interest rate cannot be accurately determined without considering the market pricing of interest rate hikes.

Jili Liaoyuan reported a suspected gas explosion in a residential area: 13 people were hospitalized, including 2 seriously injured. Liaoyuan City Emergency Management Bureau reported that at 18: 17 pm on December 12, the municipal fire rescue detachment received an alarm, and a suspected gas explosion occurred in a residential area in Liaoyuan City. At present, the open flame has been extinguished, and 13 people were hospitalized, including 2 seriously injured. The cause of the accident is under investigation.Analysis: Lagarde's speech increased the market's bet to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. In December, the European Central Bank lowered its economic forecast and inflation forecast. At the press conference, European Central Bank President Lagarde paid attention to the downside risks of economic growth, especially mentioning that trade friction may put pressure on economic growth, and also mentioned that they discussed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. Therefore, the atmosphere of the whole meeting is biased towards doves. The market then increased its bet on a 50 basis point rate cut after January. Although the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut in January is stable at 30%, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in March has increased from 30% before the meeting to 40%, and the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in April has increased from 0% to 5%.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Economic growth in the euro zone is facing downside risks. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the latest information shows that the euro zone economy is losing momentum and the risk of economic growth is on the downside. Lagarde said at a news conference in Frankfurt on Thursday that in the face of weak demand and highly uncertain prospects, enterprises are curbing investment spending-labor demand continues to weaken, exports are also weak, and the labor market remains flexible. "Over time, the economy should strengthen, though at a slower pace than previously expected," she said.